Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ivan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ivan wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ivan 44.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.3%
Defensive zone
Ivan 57.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.1%
Result
Ivan Ivan favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Ivan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ivan
Seguin
Last 5: Ivan 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Ivan
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ivan
2
1
Ivan
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Ivan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ivan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (155)
53.7% (8,071)
-13.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.9% (810)
+10.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ivan is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Ivan shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Ivan
Seguin
Home
41.2% (68)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
40.9% (93)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Ivan
Seguin
P1
33.3%
52.8%
P2
42.4%
53.3%
P3
46.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ivan
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Ivan Ivan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ivan Ivan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |