J.T. Compher vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Pageau 55.0% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 56.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Compher
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Compher
Pageau
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Compher
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
57.1% (905)
-11.6%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
55.2% (116)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
48.0% (204)
-6.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Compher
Pageau
Home
44.0% (484)
57.0% (618)
Away
45.4% (555)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Compher
Pageau
P1
46.2%
54.4%
P2
44.8%
61.0%
P3
44.2%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |