J.T. Compher vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Pageau 58.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 77.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Compher
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Compher
Pageau
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
59.1% (687)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
69.4% (36)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
60.1% (213)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Compher
Pageau
Home
52.4% (429)
57.8% (377)
Away
51.7% (449)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Compher
Pageau
P1
56.0%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
62.1%
P3
50.6%
61.8%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |