Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Carter 60.1% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 50.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 59.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Compher
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Compher
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
65.6% (262)
-20.1%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
68.3% (63)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
50.5% (99)
-8.8%
On power play, Carter has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Compher
Carter
Home
44.0% (484)
64.3% (207)
Away
45.4% (555)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Compher
Carter
P1
46.2%
65.3%
P2
44.8%
60.1%
P3
44.2%
63.8%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |