Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Carter 53.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 76.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 80.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 73.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Compher
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
18
(30 meetings)
12
18
Compher
Carter
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
12
Compher
Carter
17 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Compher
Carter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
53.3% (8,728)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
57.3% (1,554)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
46.3% (1,087)
-4.4%
On power play, Carter has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Compher shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Compher
Carter
Home
49.1% (3,894)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Compher
Carter
P1
49.1%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
52.8%
P3
47.4%
53.1%
OT
40.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | OT | 00:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |