Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Staal 54.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 50.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 55.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Compher
Staal
Last 6: Compher 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Compher
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Compher
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Compher
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
56.2% (939)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.9% (139)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
43.5% (239)
-7.9%
On power play, Staal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 65.1% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
52.4% (429)
55.4% (663)
Away
51.7% (449)
54.7% (654)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
56.0%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
50.6%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |