Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Compher
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Compher
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
56.3% (1,115)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
61.2% (67)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
52.1% (292)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
50.7% (872)
58.3% (705)
Away
46.8% (793)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
49.9%
54.5%
P2
47.9%
58.2%
P3
49.0%
54.1%
OT
46.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |