Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Staal 54.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Compher
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
57.0% (1,017)
-11.2%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
57.7% (26)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
45.1% (286)
-3.2%
On power play, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
45.1% (519)
54.3% (667)
Away
45.1% (494)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
45.8%
56.2%
P2
46.2%
57.0%
P3
43.2%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
41.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |