Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs Staal 56.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Compher
Staal
Last 5: Compher 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
55.9% (1,016)
-11.6%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
68.0% (150)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
50.6% (172)
-6.0%
On power play, Staal has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
47.2% (282)
57.2% (684)
Away
43.3% (323)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
47.6%
53.0%
P2
40.3%
58.2%
P3
47.4%
58.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |