Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.0% vs Staal 54.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 67.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 69.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 70.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Compher
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Compher
Staal
Last 9: Compher 1-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Compher
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Compher
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Compher
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (480)
54.2% (943)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
69.6% (79)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (184)
50.8% (262)
-10.6%
On power play, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Compher shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Compher
Staal
Home
51.2% (328)
55.0% (593)
Away
44.7% (387)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Compher
Staal
P1
50.4%
54.3%
P2
47.2%
53.5%
P3
46.2%
55.2%
OT
25.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |