Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Backlund 49.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 63.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Compher
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Compher
Backlund
Last 9: Compher 4-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
1
Compher
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Compher
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
50.1% (891)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
53.1% (64)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
47.8% (278)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Compher
Backlund
Home
52.4% (429)
48.1% (580)
Away
51.7% (449)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Compher
Backlund
P1
56.0%
45.1%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
50.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |