Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 75.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 59.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Compher
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Compher
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Compher
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
50.4% (1,032)
-4.6%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
52.3% (107)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
40.6% (313)
+1.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Compher
Backlund
Home
45.1% (519)
48.7% (749)
Away
45.1% (494)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Compher
Backlund
P1
45.8%
50.4%
P2
46.2%
50.1%
P3
43.2%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |