Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 71.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 62.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 64.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Compher
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Backlund
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Compher
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Compher
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
51.0% (1,205)
-5.5%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
59.3% (108)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
42.3% (234)
-0.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Compher
Backlund
Home
44.0% (484)
51.2% (782)
Away
45.4% (555)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Compher
Backlund
P1
46.2%
51.5%
P2
44.8%
49.8%
P3
44.2%
49.9%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
37.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |