Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Compher
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Compher
Bjugstad
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Compher
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
50.7% (906)
-5.2%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
48.1% (108)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
44.4% (239)
-2.7%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Compher
Bjugstad
Home
44.0% (484)
49.8% (643)
Away
45.4% (555)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Compher
Bjugstad
P1
46.2%
49.4%
P2
44.8%
50.5%
P3
44.2%
47.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |