Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 52.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Compher
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
16
(38 meetings)
22
16
Compher
Bjugstad
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
7
6
Compher
Bjugstad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
5
Compher
Bjugstad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
11
5
Compher
Bjugstad
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
48.6% (6,634)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
55.2% (829)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
44.3% (614)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Compher shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Compher
Bjugstad
Home
49.1% (3,894)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Compher
Bjugstad
P1
49.1%
49.0%
P2
47.3%
49.1%
P3
47.4%
48.4%
OT
40.2%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |