Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.0% vs Foligno 49.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 82.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Compher
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Compher
Foligno
Last 7: Compher 3-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Compher
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Compher
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (480)
47.0% (202)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
57.9% (95)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (184)
40.9% (22)
-0.7%
On power play, Foligno has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Compher shoots right. Foligno is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Compher
Foligno
Home
51.2% (328)
50.6% (162)
Away
44.7% (387)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Compher
Foligno
P1
50.4%
48.9%
P2
47.2%
47.8%
P3
46.2%
53.8%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |