Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 52.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.4%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Compher
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
48.7% (495)
-2.9%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
56.9% (65)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
43.8% (144)
-1.9%
On power play, Foligno has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Compher
Foligno
Home
45.1% (519)
49.6% (359)
Away
45.1% (494)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Compher
Foligno
P1
45.8%
46.7%
P2
46.2%
52.7%
P3
43.2%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
45.1%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |