Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Foligno 52.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 61.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 72.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Compher
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Compher
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Compher
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Compher
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
52.0% (50)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
66.7% (21)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
0.0% (1)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Compher
Foligno
Home
50.7% (872)
51.2% (41)
Away
46.8% (793)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Compher
Foligno
P1
49.9%
55.6%
P2
47.9%
48.0%
P3
49.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |