J.T. Compher vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 53.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 77.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 65.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (582)
47.6% (189)
+5.3%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
100.0% (2)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
29.4% (17)
+7.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Compher is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Compher shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.2% (360)
48.5% (132)
Away
49.5% (301)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.4%
51.4%
P2
49.8%
41.3%
P3
48.5%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |