J.T. Compher vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 82.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
5
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
44.9% (8,756)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
50.7% (839)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
37.9% (879)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.1% (3,894)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.1%
45.1%
P2
47.3%
43.9%
P3
47.4%
45.3%
OT
40.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2023 | OT | 04:29 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |