J.T. Compher vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 73.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
47.6% (231)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
83.3% (12)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
33.3% (21)
+2.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.4% (429)
51.2% (164)
Away
51.7% (449)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Compher
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.0%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
46.2%
P3
50.6%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |