Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Carrick 53.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 67.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 50.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 56.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Compher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Compher
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
55.1% (439)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.7% (3)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
49.1% (53)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Compher
Carrick
Home
52.4% (429)
58.2% (225)
Away
51.7% (449)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Compher
Carrick
P1
56.0%
56.7%
P2
50.0%
52.8%
P3
50.6%
54.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |