Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 74.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Compher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Compher
Carrick
Last 6: Compher 3-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Compher
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
53.8% (654)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
0.0% (2)
+40.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
63.9% (36)
-22.0%
On power play, Compher has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Compher is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Compher shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Compher
Carrick
Home
45.1% (519)
50.0% (328)
Away
45.1% (494)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Compher
Carrick
P1
45.8%
56.7%
P2
46.2%
51.1%
P3
43.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
41.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |