Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Carrick 53.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 50.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 64.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Compher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
53.9% (521)
-8.4%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
57.1% (35)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
51.5% (229)
-9.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Compher
Carrick
Home
44.0% (484)
52.7% (408)
Away
45.4% (555)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Compher
Carrick
P1
46.2%
51.4%
P2
44.8%
56.6%
P3
44.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |