Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Zegras 39.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 74.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 88.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Compher
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Compher
Zegras
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Compher
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
38.6% (1,669)
+10.1%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
38.5% (148)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
28.6% (7)
+13.3%
On power play, Compher has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Compher
Zegras
Home
49.1% (3,894)
39.9% (882)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Compher
Zegras
P1
49.1%
40.2%
P2
47.3%
38.0%
P3
47.4%
37.7%
OT
40.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |