Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.6%
Defensive zone
Zegras 60.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 68.6%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Compher
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Zegras
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Compher
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Compher
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
41.1% (559)
+8.2%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
50.0% (12)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
50.0% (2)
-6.4%
On even strength, Compher has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Compher
Zegras
Home
50.7% (872)
45.7% (247)
Away
46.8% (793)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Compher
Zegras
P1
49.9%
45.5%
P2
47.9%
36.8%
P3
49.0%
41.1%
OT
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |