Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Zegras 41.3% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 73.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 92.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 78.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Compher
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Compher
Zegras
Last 5: Compher 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
36.5% (156)
+9.3%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
40.7% (27)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
0.0% (3)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Compher
Zegras
Home
45.1% (519)
38.9% (113)
Away
45.1% (494)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Compher
Zegras
P1
45.8%
40.0%
P2
46.2%
38.1%
P3
43.2%
31.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |