Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Miller 52.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 57.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 91.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 71.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Tkachuk
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tkachuk
Miller
Last 6: Tkachuk 4-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Miller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
54.9% (432)
-6.4%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
23.1% (13)
+23.6%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Tkachuk shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Miller
Home
50.7% (136)
55.4% (294)
Away
43.4% (113)
50.0% (232)
By Period
Tkachuk
Miller
P1
45.9%
47.5%
P2
54.4%
51.7%
P3
42.2%
60.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
47.4%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |