Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Miller 53.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 52.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 53.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 50.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Ryan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ryan
Miller
Last 6: Ryan 1-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
4
Ryan
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
54.9% (627)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
53.7% (136)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
47.6% (42)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Miller is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Ryan
Miller
Home
56.7% (466)
54.7% (486)
Away
56.3% (474)
53.6% (319)
By Period
Ryan
Miller
P1
55.4%
48.6%
P2
58.1%
59.6%
P3
55.8%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |