Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Hughes 36.6% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 61.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 74.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Miller
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Miller
Hughes
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Miller
Hughes
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
5
Miller
Hughes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
36.0% (2,887)
+19.2%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
38.8% (224)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
31.0% (42)
+17.2%
On even strength, Miller has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Miller
Hughes
Home
55.9% (4,578)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Miller
Hughes
P1
54.7%
36.9%
P2
55.6%
33.6%
P3
54.0%
38.1%
OT
62.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |