Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Hughes 39.2% (+20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 56.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 60.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Miller
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Miller
Hughes
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Miller
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Miller
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
37.9% (623)
+20.3%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
33.3% (33)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
36.4% (11)
+22.5%
On power play, Miller has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Miller
Hughes
Home
59.1% (558)
36.6% (314)
Away
57.3% (520)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Miller
Hughes
P1
60.7%
36.4%
P2
57.5%
35.6%
P3
56.1%
41.8%
OT
73.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |