Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Hughes 38.0% (+19.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 63.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 74.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Miller
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Miller
Hughes
Last 7: Miller 2-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
3
Miller
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Miller
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
34.5% (342)
+21.0%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
42.9% (7)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
25.0% (4)
+20.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Miller
Hughes
Home
53.5% (578)
32.6% (187)
Away
54.7% (655)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Miller
Hughes
P1
58.3%
33.9%
P2
53.5%
34.2%
P3
50.1%
36.5%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |