Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs McBain 44.7% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Miller
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Miller
McBain
Last 10: Miller 6-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
1
Miller
McBain
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
3
Miller
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
45.3% (675)
+10.4%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
50.0% (16)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
37.6% (149)
+9.6%
On power play, Miller has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Miller
McBain
Home
56.1% (440)
45.5% (437)
Away
53.8% (446)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Miller
McBain
P1
52.3%
43.5%
P2
54.7%
44.0%
P3
57.2%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
55.0%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jack McBain |