Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs McBain 46.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 95.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 88.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Miller
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Miller
McBain
Last 10: Miller 6-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
2
Miller
McBain
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
5
Miller
McBain
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
48.0% (2,298)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
49.0% (51)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
35.7% (308)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Miller
McBain
Home
55.9% (4,578)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Miller
McBain
P1
54.7%
46.7%
P2
55.6%
47.5%
P3
54.0%
45.6%
OT
62.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |