Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Stenlund 54.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 84.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 53.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Miller
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Miller
Stenlund
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
1
Miller
Stenlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
6
Miller
Stenlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Stenlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
55.3% (2,703)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
52.6% (116)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
50.6% (919)
-2.4%
On power play, Miller has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Miller
Stenlund
Home
55.9% (4,578)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Miller
Stenlund
P1
54.7%
56.4%
P2
55.6%
53.3%
P3
54.0%
52.8%
OT
62.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |