Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 59.1%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 83.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 50.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Miller
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Miller
Stenlund
Last 9: Miller 7-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
58.6% (797)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
62.5% (24)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
60.5% (233)
-1.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Miller
Stenlund
Home
59.1% (558)
58.6% (548)
Away
57.3% (520)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Miller
Stenlund
P1
60.7%
60.2%
P2
57.5%
59.1%
P3
56.1%
58.3%
OT
73.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
60.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |