Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 58.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 77.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Miller
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Miller
Stenlund
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Miller
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Stenlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
54.4% (592)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
42.9% (14)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
44.1% (229)
+3.3%
On power play, Miller has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Miller
Stenlund
Home
58.6% (734)
50.7% (402)
Away
54.1% (727)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Miller
Stenlund
P1
57.1%
56.5%
P2
57.0%
52.4%
P3
54.7%
45.2%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |