Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 58.1% vs Eller 51.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 72.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Miller
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Miller
Eller
Last 5: Miller 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Miller
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Miller
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (618)
52.8% (769)
+5.6%
Power Play
69.1% (55)
54.7% (75)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
57.8% (45)
46.8% (188)
+11.0%
On power play, Miller has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Miller is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Miller shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Miller
Eller
Home
58.7% (390)
51.3% (513)
Away
59.8% (328)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Miller
Eller
P1
59.5%
50.3%
P2
61.6%
52.8%
P3
56.4%
51.4%
OT
46.2%
87.5%
Final 5 min
64.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | OT | 02:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |