Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Eller 53.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 64.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Miller
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Miller
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Miller
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
53.8% (865)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
57.1% (21)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
52.6% (137)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Miller
Eller
Home
56.1% (440)
56.4% (486)
Away
53.8% (446)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Miller
Eller
P1
52.3%
55.1%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
57.2%
51.7%
OT
66.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |