Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Eller 52.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 83.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Miller
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Eller
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Miller
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
52.8% (742)
+3.5%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
67.6% (34)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
46.2% (156)
+1.2%
On power play, Eller has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Miller
Eller
Home
58.6% (734)
54.5% (448)
Away
54.1% (727)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Miller
Eller
P1
57.1%
52.8%
P2
57.0%
50.9%
P3
54.7%
53.4%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |