Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs McTavish 51.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 64.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Miller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Miller
McTavish
Last 10: Miller 5-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Miller
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
1
Miller
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
51.3% (725)
+5.0%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
55.8% (113)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
28.6% (7)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Miller
McTavish
Home
58.6% (734)
52.0% (454)
Away
54.1% (727)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Miller
McTavish
P1
57.1%
51.3%
P2
57.0%
50.4%
P3
54.7%
53.3%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |