Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs McTavish 50.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 83.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 83.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 71.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Miller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Miller
McTavish
Last 9: Miller 6-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
51.1% (769)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
50.6% (178)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
28.6% (14)
+30.3%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Miller
McTavish
Home
59.1% (558)
52.3% (461)
Away
57.3% (520)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Miller
McTavish
P1
60.7%
51.5%
P2
57.5%
54.0%
P3
56.1%
47.1%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |