Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 49.5% vs Duchene 54.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 75.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Miller
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Miller
Duchene
Last 5: Miller 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Miller
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (357)
55.4% (1,013)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
56.3% (192)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
41.2% (17)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Miller is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Miller shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Miller
Duchene
Home
53.0% (281)
56.2% (642)
Away
45.3% (243)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Miller
Duchene
P1
49.4%
56.2%
P2
53.3%
56.5%
P3
45.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
49.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |