Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.5%). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 56.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 69.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Miller
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Miller
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Miller
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Miller
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
56.5% (566)
-0.2%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
61.3% (62)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
22.2% (9)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Miller
Duchene
Home
58.6% (734)
56.6% (318)
Away
54.1% (727)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Miller
Duchene
P1
57.1%
57.2%
P2
57.0%
55.1%
P3
54.7%
55.6%
OT
62.5%
81.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |