Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 62.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Miller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Schmaltz
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Miller
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
41.2% (3,399)
+14.0%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
47.1% (649)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
47.8% (134)
+0.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Miller
Schmaltz
Home
55.9% (4,578)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Miller
Schmaltz
P1
54.7%
41.1%
P2
55.6%
42.9%
P3
54.0%
43.0%
OT
62.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |