Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 87.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 95.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 92.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Miller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Miller
Schmaltz
Last 6: Miller 5-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
38.5% (309)
+17.8%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
53.2% (79)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
25.0% (12)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Miller
Schmaltz
Home
58.6% (734)
38.0% (184)
Away
54.1% (727)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Miller
Schmaltz
P1
57.1%
40.3%
P2
57.0%
39.9%
P3
54.7%
40.7%
OT
62.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |