Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 90.0%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 55.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 77.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 90.0%
10.0%
90.0%
Miller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Miller
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Miller
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
42.9% (133)
+12.6%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
55.1% (89)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
47.1% (17)
-1.3%
On even strength, Miller has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Miller
Schmaltz
Home
53.5% (578)
41.6% (125)
Away
54.7% (655)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Miller
Schmaltz
P1
58.3%
40.0%
P2
53.5%
59.5%
P3
50.1%
45.0%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |