Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Miller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Miller
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
54.1% (534)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
56.0% (109)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
44.8% (96)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Miller
Zacha
Home
59.1% (558)
53.4% (406)
Away
57.3% (520)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Miller
Zacha
P1
60.7%
56.8%
P2
57.5%
53.6%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |