Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Zacha 49.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 66.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 65.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 67.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Miller
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
Miller
Zacha
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
3
Miller
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
13
Miller
Zacha
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
6
5
Miller
Zacha
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
48.9% (5,102)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
55.6% (804)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
42.2% (555)
+6.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Miller
Zacha
Home
55.9% (4,578)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Miller
Zacha
P1
54.7%
49.9%
P2
55.6%
49.2%
P3
54.0%
48.1%
OT
62.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |