Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Johansen 58.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 61.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Miller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Johansen
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
59.8% (625)
-4.1%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
58.2% (196)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
51.9% (27)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Miller
Johansen
Home
56.1% (440)
60.3% (436)
Away
53.8% (446)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Miller
Johansen
P1
52.3%
61.3%
P2
54.7%
60.4%
P3
57.2%
56.0%
OT
66.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |